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  • Kinky Business: Nonlinear Relationships in Linear Models
    proce- dure. To say this another way: for now, we care more about how the smooths fit vs. how the model ... GAM encompasses a wide range of models mak- ing a direct Earth/GAM comparison tricky. However, there are ...

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    • Authors: Nicholas Hanewinckel
    • Date: Jun 2020
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
    Economists are no different: judgment is “the primary factor that the economist uses in converting mere ... optimistic and one pessimistic scenario. The primary purpose of a scenario is to constrain judgmental ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Jul 2010
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Predictive Analytics & Futurism, June 2020, Issue 25
    proce- dure. To say this another way: for now, we care more about how the smooths fit vs. how the model ... GAM encompasses a wide range of models mak- ing a direct Earth/GAM comparison tricky. However, there are ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jun 2020
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Complexity Science Enters the Actuarial Classrooms
    Complexity Science Enters the Actuarial Classrooms The author discusses expectations for incoming ... to classical economic or actuarial theory. The primary focus, of course, for us still is making sure ...

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    • Authors: Min Deng
    • Date: Jul 2011
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession
  • Risk Adjustment: Retrospective Chart Chase
    demographic information, drug patterns, lab results, past care, and other characteristics. A predictive model ... at how members evolve over time with episodes of care, and where others ended up based on this same trajectory ...

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    • Authors: Dale Cap
    • Date: Nov 2020
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; FinTech & InsurTech
  • The First Step in Building a Predictive Model
    messaging at the level that senior stakeholders care about. Put yourselves in the stakeholder’s “shoes” ... of model, as senior lead- ership likely doesn’t care as much about those details. Start with a high-level ...

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    • Authors: Nathan Dennis Pohle
    • Date: Dec 2018
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Standing Room Only! Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting
    presentation on “Modeling Complex Systems in Health Care.” He talked about the strengths and weaknesses ... serious games—to solve actuarial problems in health care. Obviously, this year saw a turning point in actuarial ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Finance & Investments>Asset liability management; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Follow Your Passion
    weeks to familiarizing them with common health care data sources. We explain why these sources were ... credibility and the intricacies of the U.S. health care system, while consulting has helped me focus on ...

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    • Authors: Sheamus Parkes
    • Date: Jul 2016
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Alternative careers; Predictive Analytics
  • Technology and Skill Trends in the Actuarial Profession
    to personal property and auto insurance. Health care delivery is also starting to show signs of transfor- ... create volatility in health, retirement, long-term care, and life insurance markets. To navigate the emerging ...

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    • Authors: Julie Curtis
    • Date: Aug 2020
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Technology & Applications; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics; Technology & Applications>Artificial intelligence & machine learning
  • Predictive Analytics, April 2019, Issue 20
    arbitrary. For high-variance events such as health care claims or mortality, these small perturbations ... compile your Cython extension. This includes the primary Python library, named “python3.6m”; however, additional ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jun 2019
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
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